Conference Contribution Details
Mandatory Fields
Nick Tosh
Annual Conference of the Irish Philosophical Association
Resuscitating the finite frequentist account of chance
Drogheda
Invited Paper
Optional Fields
22-FEB-13
23-FEB-14
The view that chances are relative frequencies of occurrence within actual, finite reference classes has long been written off, chiefly on the grounds that appropriate reference classes cannot be defined. I argue that a simple strategy appealing to qualitatively identical histories may be viable, so long as we are willing to reject a natural (but nonetheless unsafe) assumption about the size of the actual world.
Irish Philosophical Association
Publication Themes